Algorithms · Uncertainty Estimation

TitleAuthors
Accurate Layerwise Interpretable Competence EstimationVickram Rajendran · William LeVine
Accurate Uncertainty Estimation and Decomposition in Ensemble LearningJeremiah Liu · John Paisley · Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou · Brent Coull
Addressing Failure Detection by Learning Model ConfidenceCharles Corbière · Nicolas THOME · Avner Bar-Hen · Matthieu Cord · Patrick Pérez
Beyond temperature scaling: Obtaining well-calibrated multi-class probabilities with Dirichlet calibrationMeelis Kull · Miquel Perello Nieto · Markus Kängsepp · Telmo Silva Filho · Hao Song · Peter Flach
Calibration tests in multi-class classification: A unifying frameworkDavid Widmann · Fredrik Lindsten · Dave Zachariah
Can you trust your model's uncertainty? Evaluating predictive uncertainty under dataset shiftJasper Snoek · Yaniv Ovadia · Emily Fertig · Balaji Lakshminarayanan · Sebastian Nowozin · D. Sculley · Joshua Dillon · Jie Ren · Zachary Nado
Computing Full Conformal Prediction Set with Approximate HomotopyEugene Ndiaye · Ichiro Takeuchi
Conformalized Quantile RegressionYaniv Romano · Evan Patterson · Emmanuel Candes
Deep Gamblers: Learning to Abstain with Portfolio TheoryZiyin Liu · Zhikang Wang · Paul Pu Liang · Russ Salakhutdinov · Louis-Philippe Morency · Masahito Ueda
Likelihood Ratios for Out-of-Distribution DetectionJie Ren · Peter J. Liu · Emily Fertig · Jasper Snoek · Ryan Poplin · Mark Depristo · Joshua Dillon · Balaji Lakshminarayanan
Modeling Uncertainty by Learning a Hierarchy of Deep Neural ConnectionsRaanan Yehezkel Rohekar · Yaniv Gurwicz · Shami Nisimov · Gal Novik
Modelling heterogeneous distributions with an Uncountable Mixture of Asymmetric LaplaciansAxel Brando · Jose A Rodriguez · Jordi Vitria · Alberto Rubio Muñoz
On Mixup Training: Improved Calibration and Predictive Uncertainty for Deep Neural NetworksSunil Thulasidasan · Gopinath Chennupati · Jeff Bilmes · Tanmoy Bhattacharya · Sarah Michalak
Prediction of Spatial Point Processes: Regularized Method with Out-of-Sample GuaranteesMuhammad Osama · Dave Zachariah · Peter Stoica
Reliable training and estimation of variance networksNicki Skafte · Martin Jørgensen · Søren Hauberg
Reverse KL-Divergence Training of Prior Networks: Improved Uncertainty and Adversarial RobustnessAndrey Malinin · Mark Gales
Single-Model Uncertainties for Deep LearningNatasa Tagasovska · David Lopez-Paz
The Functional Neural ProcessChristos Louizos · Xiahan Shi · Klamer Schutte · Max Welling
Uncertainty on Asynchronous Time Event PredictionMarin Biloš · Bertrand Charpentier · Stephan Günnemann
Verified Uncertainty CalibrationAnanya Kumar · Percy Liang · Tengyu Ma